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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+8.12vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.89vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+6.62vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+8.11vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+2.82vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+2.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+2.61vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+2.82vs Predicted
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9Fordham University4.26-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.51+0.43vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.49-0.42vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.80+1.88vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.09vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-4.96vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.48vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-6.27vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-5.70vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-3.10vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.36-8.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.82George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.88Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.04Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.73College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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14.9Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.81University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Hall | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Olin Paine | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Thomas Balk | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 31.2% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.