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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+5.37vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.51+7.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+1.85vs Predicted
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5Fordham University4.26+1.91vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+4.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+2.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.95vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+1.12vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16+1.71vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-2.53vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.83vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-4.06vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.60vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.94vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.43-1.77vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.80-4.01vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-9.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.37Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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5.85Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.91Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.12George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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8.94Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.4Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.06SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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14.23Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.99Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Graham Landy | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Olin Paine | 9.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Mary Hall | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% |
| Thomas Balk | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 33.7% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 19.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.