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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+6.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+5.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.49+4.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+2.07vs Predicted
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8Fordham University4.26-1.11vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+1.10vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65-0.28vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.28vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.65vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.59vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-0.88vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.80vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.80-4.01vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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10.17Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.89Fordham University4.260.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.12Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.2SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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12.99Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Mary Hall | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Olin Paine | 8.7% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 30.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 19.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.