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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+6.88vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.54+11.30vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+5.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.61vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27+3.21vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+3.87vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.33vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.50vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.73-2.92vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.51-2.62vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-2.05vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.69-1.18vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.65-6.61vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-5.18vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.10vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.44-8.78vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.27-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.3Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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11.87Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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15.5SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Booker | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 38.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alex Post | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.