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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+5.25vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.93+7.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.65+3.72vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+5.07vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27+2.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-1.30vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.32vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.69-0.54vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-0.59vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.41vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.51-7.12vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.27-6.92vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.11-7.28vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.71Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.72Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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7.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.46Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.41Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.08Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.72Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.29SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.