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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.54+12.25vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+9.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.49vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+2.63vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+3.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+3.02vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.93+4.75vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.73+0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.70vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.52vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.69+1.72vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.27-3.05vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.65-5.38vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.41vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-5.21vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.27-6.85vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.67-9.80vs Predicted
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19George Washington University3.41-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.25Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.75Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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15.52SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.72Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.2Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.02George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 38.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Connor Godfrey | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Michael Booker | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.