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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.04+1.94vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+0.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.93-0.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-0.49vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.50-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Pennsylvania1.0419.7%1st Place
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2.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.1338.3%1st Place
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2.92Cornell University0.9318.8%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.6410.5%1st Place
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3.48SUNY Maritime College0.5012.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Fox | 19.7% | 20.4% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 15.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 38.3% | 27.8% | 18.8% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 18.8% | 22.4% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 15.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 10.5% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 32.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 12.8% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.