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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.39+6.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.52+4.67vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.38+4.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+0.75vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.78+0.90vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81+3.25vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+1.99vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.90-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-1.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-5.14vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.68-3.38vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.53-1.13vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.10-6.94vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.33-8.54vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.25-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.67Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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5.9College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.99Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.43University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.46Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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15.84Cornell University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wilson | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 14.9% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 0.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Sara Burke | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 0.6% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 14.3% | 46.5% | 3.9% |
| Genoa Warner | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bick | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 94.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.