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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.68+4.27vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+2.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.94-0.30vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.29+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01-0.52vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73+2.23vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.41vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.50+0.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-3.05vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University0.06+2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29+2.75vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.64-3.67vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.20-0.55vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.51+0.30vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.39-3.07vs Predicted
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16Penn State University0.21-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-0.23-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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6.51Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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8.23Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.41Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.64Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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5.95Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.84Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.33Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.45Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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14.3Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.93Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.53Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Russom | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.0% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 30.5% | 24.7% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 3.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.9% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 28.4% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.