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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Avery 15.7% 15.2% 14.6% 13.2% 10.8% 9.8% 8.0% 5.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Jack Wigmore 10.2% 10.7% 12.2% 11.3% 12.8% 9.8% 9.2% 8.6% 7.8% 5.8% 1.6%
Liam Holder 13.8% 12.7% 12.5% 13.2% 10.3% 11.1% 9.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.0%
Alex Bagnoni 23.0% 18.1% 15.9% 13.3% 10.0% 8.0% 5.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Oliver Genovese 7.8% 9.2% 11.4% 10.8% 11.9% 10.3% 11.5% 10.3% 8.1% 5.7% 2.9%
Sarina Schmoyer 4.7% 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 11.2% 12.8% 14.9% 21.0%
Gavin Faircloth 8.5% 8.4% 9.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.4% 11.2% 9.8% 7.4% 3.9%
Tyler Williams 3.0% 5.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 8.4% 12.1% 12.3% 16.8% 18.8%
Bales Brannon 4.0% 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 6.8% 9.2% 10.1% 10.0% 13.2% 13.9% 15.7%
Damian Uzonwanne 5.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.4% 8.6% 9.4% 10.5% 11.3% 12.8% 12.7% 9.8%
Luke Ritchie 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 5.2% 7.6% 8.0% 10.0% 11.2% 16.5% 24.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.