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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+7.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+4.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+4.36vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+7.19vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+5.02vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.27+3.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.66vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.49vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.55vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-0.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-1.47vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.65vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-4.41vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.73-6.92vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-4.47vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.65-8.61vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-5.42vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.05Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.36Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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15.55SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.53Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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6.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.59George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.53Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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12.58Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.88Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Post | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Michael Booker | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 40.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.