← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+5.73vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.76vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.11+7.97vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.79+3.86vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.67vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.87+9.35vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.69+5.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.27+2.41vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.65-0.69vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.53vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.93+0.71vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.67-3.27vs Predicted
-
13Brown University3.27-3.08vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.51-4.81vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.54-1.95vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.73-7.97vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University3.41-7.48vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.13vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin3.04-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.73Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.97Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
7.86Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.67U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
-
15.35SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
12.74Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.31Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.71Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.92Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.19Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.05Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.03College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.52George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
10.72University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Popp | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 38.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.9% |
| Michael Booker | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Alex Post | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.