← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University3.79+6.86vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+4.76vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.87+9.02vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.60vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University3.41+4.74vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.31vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.65+1.54vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.67+0.62vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin3.04+2.01vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.49vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College2.69+1.70vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.51-2.59vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.11-2.40vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont3.27-3.72vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.73-6.99vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.27-5.99vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.54-3.82vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.87-2.35vs Predicted
-
19Stanford University2.93-7.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.86Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
6.76Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.74George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.62Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
11.01University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
12.7Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.41Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
10.6Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
10.28University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
8.01College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
10.01Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
-
13.18Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
15.65SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
11.21Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Alex Post | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Michael Booker | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Davidson | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 15.0% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 39.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.