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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+8.93vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.27+7.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.57+4.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+4.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+3.99vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.72vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+1.72vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+2.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.78vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-2.58vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69+1.01vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-2.08vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-6.05vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-3.28vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-7.82vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.53vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.54-4.83vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-12.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.99Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.43Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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13.01Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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15.47SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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13.17Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Michael Booker | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Whipple | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Alex Post | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 38.8% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.9% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.