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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.57+7.78vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.68vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+7.93vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.69+8.70vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+7.17vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.04+5.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.65+1.49vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.05vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.51-0.17vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.87+5.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.27-0.89vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.08-5.11vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-3.84vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.67-5.56vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.45vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.93-4.46vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.27-6.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.44-8.81vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.7Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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15.49SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.11University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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6.89Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.54Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.11Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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12.88Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Whipple | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 39.7% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Augie Dale | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.