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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.57+7.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+8.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+8.74vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.37vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.59vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+2.53vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.69+4.83vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.270.00vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-2.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.65-3.27vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-4.94vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-3.74vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.51-6.06vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.22vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.50vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-10.26vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.83College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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10.88Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.74Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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6.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.83Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.26Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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15.5SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.82Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Whipple | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Michael Popp | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Swain | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Alex Post | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 40.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.