← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+7.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin3.04+8.60vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.93+7.03vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.65+2.68vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.54+6.20vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.08-0.89vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.57+0.09vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.79-1.90vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University3.11+0.05vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University3.51-2.39vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.69-0.12vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.01vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College1.87+0.49vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University3.67-7.55vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University3.41-7.32vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont3.27-7.56vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.27-8.45vs Predicted
-
19University of Pennsylvania2.87-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.6University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
11.03Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.2Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
6.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.09College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
-
7.1Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
10.05Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.61Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.88Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
8.99U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
14.49SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
7.45Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.68George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.44University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
9.55Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
10.88University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Whipple | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Post | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 39.2% |
| Augie Dale | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michael Booker | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.