← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.11+9.10vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+4.07vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.87+8.17vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.27+5.09vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.65+2.58vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.54+6.20vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.47vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.79-1.02vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.93+1.69vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.57-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.67-3.36vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.51-3.40vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.78-1.90vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-7.45vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.69-4.36vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont3.27-7.71vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.34vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin3.04-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.1Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
6.07Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.17University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.09Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
7.58Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
-
12.2Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
6.98Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
10.69Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
8.18College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
-
7.64Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.6Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.1George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
-
7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
11.64Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
-
14.66SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of Wisconsin3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Whipple | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Post | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 39.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.