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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.52vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.39vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.54+8.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+3.36vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.27+3.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+0.18vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.57-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.87+1.62vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+0.08vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-2.02vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.69-1.01vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.51-5.06vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.87-1.14vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.78-5.29vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-10.16vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-10.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.39Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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11.62Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.6University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.47College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.08Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.98Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.99Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 13.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Booker | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Augie Dale | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Whipple | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 3.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Arthur Libby | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 39.6% |
| Sam White | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.