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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University-0.52+3.40vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+1.51vs Predicted
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3Duke University-1.01+2.14vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-2.04+3.64vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-1.80+1.41vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-1.29-1.12vs Predicted
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8Davidson College-1.09-2.59vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.86-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of Tennessee-2.12-2.09vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-1.52-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Clemson University-0.5215.2%1st Place
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3.51Georgia Institute of Technology-0.3221.8%1st Place
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5.14Duke University-1.0110.8%1st Place
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7.64North Carolina State University-2.044.5%1st Place
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4.69North Carolina State University-0.8112.9%1st Place
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7.41University of South Carolina-1.804.0%1st Place
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5.88Auburn University-1.297.4%1st Place
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5.41Davidson College-1.099.9%1st Place
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7.34University of Georgia-1.865.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Tennessee-2.123.9%1st Place
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6.66The Citadel-1.524.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Avery | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Alex Bagnoni | 21.8% | 19.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Jack Wigmore | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
Sarina Schmoyer | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 20.6% |
Liam Holder | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Tyler Williams | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
Gavin Faircloth | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
Oliver Genovese | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
Bales Brannon | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
Luke Ritchie | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 24.6% |
Damian Uzonwanne | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.