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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.31vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+0.61vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College1.73+2.96vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+0.59vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.48vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.50-2.27vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.64-0.55vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.50-1.30vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.39+1.05vs Predicted
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12Penn State University0.21+0.51vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.23+0.58vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.20-1.38vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University0.06-2.26vs Predicted
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16Columbia University-0.51-1.74vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.96Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.59Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.48Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.73Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.45Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.7Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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12.05Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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12.51Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
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12.62Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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12.74Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.26Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 32.3% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 27.2% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.