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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Avery 15.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.7% 10.9% 11.2% 9.2% 6.7% 4.5% 1.5% 1.1%
Alex Bagnoni 21.8% 19.2% 15.8% 13.5% 9.3% 8.9% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Jack Wigmore 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 11.8% 11.1% 10.6% 10.1% 10.0% 5.9% 4.9% 2.6%
Sarina Schmoyer 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.5% 9.6% 13.3% 16.6% 20.6%
Liam Holder 12.9% 12.7% 12.8% 12.2% 12.3% 10.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1%
Tyler Williams 4.0% 4.8% 5.1% 7.1% 7.3% 6.5% 9.8% 9.8% 12.7% 15.5% 17.5%
Gavin Faircloth 7.4% 9.0% 8.9% 9.2% 10.8% 10.7% 9.8% 11.8% 9.4% 8.3% 4.5%
Oliver Genovese 9.9% 9.7% 10.8% 9.9% 11.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.8% 8.8% 5.1% 2.9%
Bales Brannon 5.1% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.3% 9.0% 10.5% 14.0% 15.0% 16.4%
Luke Ritchie 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 7.0% 8.3% 9.6% 12.2% 16.6% 24.6%
Damian Uzonwanne 4.5% 6.7% 7.3% 7.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.2% 11.4% 11.8% 12.8% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.