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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+4.54vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+7.37vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+5.79vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.65+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.92vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.78+3.90vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87+2.37vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.63vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-1.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-4.37vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-4.66vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.57-5.36vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.87-0.14vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.54-3.22vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-7.19vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.93-6.78vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.69-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.63Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.64College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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13.86SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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11.78Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.22Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.11Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sam White | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Alex Post | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Whipple | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 38.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 13.7% |
| Michael Booker | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.