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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.87+9.13vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.65+5.15vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+4.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+1.81vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.69+5.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.27+1.78vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.93+1.93vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11+0.69vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-2.25vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.57-3.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-3.26vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.78-2.15vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.76vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-4.38vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.87-3.08vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-11.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.89Eckerd College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.93Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston3.570.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University2.780.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.62Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.92SUNY Maritime College1.870.0%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Duncan Swain | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Monllor | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Alex Post | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Whipple | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Michael Booker | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Sam White | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% |
| Arthur Libby | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 38.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.