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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.73+9.74vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.73+8.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+5.58vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+6.14vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.18vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-0.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96+1.51vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.05+0.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.38-1.90vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-3.12vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.85vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-2.52vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71+0.05vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.06vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-9.43vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.90-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.74Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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8.58Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.18Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.78Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.1Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.48Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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14.05Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Muller | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Nick Valente | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| James Beatty | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Greg Martinez | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 29.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.7% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 27.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.