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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.79+9.54vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+6.05vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.54vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.73+6.43vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.71+9.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.73+2.51vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.60vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.87+2.91vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.38-3.73vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-2.46vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.82vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.07vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.03vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.49vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.96-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.43Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.22Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.49Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.12College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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13.91University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.18Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.51Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.48Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel DelBello | 4.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nick Valente | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Luke Muller | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 32.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Charles Rees | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 27.1% |
| James Beatty | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Will Holz | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.