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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.90vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.73+6.51vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.73+5.53vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+0.92vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.79+3.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-0.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.38-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.87+4.02vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.70-0.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.72vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.63vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.25-5.82vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.03vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-8.58vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-6.94vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.71-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.52SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.51Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.02University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.92Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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7.42Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.23Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Charles Rees | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Luke Muller | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| James Beatty | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 27.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% |
| Will Holz | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.