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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alex Bagnoni 20.8% 19.9% 15.4% 13.1% 10.7% 8.7% 5.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Oliver Genovese 9.2% 11.2% 10.1% 11.5% 11.7% 10.3% 11.2% 8.9% 7.5% 5.7% 2.6%
William Avery 17.7% 15.3% 13.8% 11.9% 11.6% 9.6% 8.1% 5.4% 3.9% 2.0% 0.9%
Liam Holder 12.8% 13.5% 12.9% 12.4% 10.8% 10.3% 10.2% 7.4% 5.0% 3.4% 1.2%
Jack Wigmore 10.0% 10.9% 11.2% 11.6% 10.5% 11.3% 9.3% 9.9% 8.0% 4.8% 2.4%
Tyler Williams 4.2% 3.8% 5.7% 5.6% 6.7% 7.9% 9.7% 11.0% 12.8% 15.7% 17.0%
Damian Uzonwanne 5.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 11.5% 12.0% 11.2% 10.1%
Bales Brannon 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.4% 6.8% 8.5% 9.4% 10.2% 14.1% 14.3% 16.7%
Gavin Faircloth 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 9.9% 10.1% 10.5% 10.4% 10.9% 10.1% 7.8% 4.2%
Sarina Schmoyer 3.5% 3.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.1% 9.8% 13.4% 16.6% 22.6%
Luke Ritchie 4.0% 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 5.6% 6.7% 7.8% 11.5% 11.6% 17.6% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.