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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+9.29vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.93vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.73+8.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+4.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38+3.27vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.26vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+0.69vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.24vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.89-2.77vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.70+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.73-0.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.50-5.30vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-7.02vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.39-6.79vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.49vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.79-6.06vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.90-7.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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9.93SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.31Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.74Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.27Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.69Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.23College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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14.23University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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7.7Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.21Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.94George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Luke Muller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| James Beatty | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Charles Rees | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 34.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.