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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+7.34vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+4.34vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38+4.05vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+5.58vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.73+4.93vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.96+2.93vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.73+2.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.11vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-3.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.68vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.70-0.62vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-2.97vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71+0.30vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-7.33vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-8.34vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-9.18vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.25-9.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.82SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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10.82Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.38Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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14.3Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.66Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| James Beatty | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.1% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Luke Muller | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 26.9% |
| Charles Rees | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% |
| William Crary | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 15.0% | 33.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.