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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+7.86vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.71vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96+7.11vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+2.97vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.73+5.74vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38+2.12vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.06vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.03vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.79+0.85vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-4.75vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.57vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71+1.34vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-2.12vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-4.16vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.50-8.29vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-9.36vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.90-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.71SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.06Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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14.03University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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6.25College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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14.34Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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10.84Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.71Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| James Beatty | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 26.5% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Charles Rees | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 33.8% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.