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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+6.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.73+8.55vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.79+5.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+4.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+2.18vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.71+6.86vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.63vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.89-5.13vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-4.45vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.70-2.74vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.73-4.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.64-8.35vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.36vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.87-0.99vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.52-11.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.55Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.18SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.86Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.63University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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5.87College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.55Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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6.65Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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11.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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16.01University of Vermont0.870.0%1st Place
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6.92Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Luke Muller | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel DelBello | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 17.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 15.2% |
| Charles Rees | 11.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Henderson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 16.3% | 53.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.