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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+8.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+6.47vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.73+7.54vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+1.80vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.79+4.98vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.70+4.43vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.38-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.73+0.53vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-3.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.88vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.39-5.45vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.64-7.50vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-7.79vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.28vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.71-2.92vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.87-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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8.47Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.54Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.98George Washington University2.790.0%1st Place
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10.43Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.3University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Wisconsin2.730.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.21Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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14.08Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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15.88University of Vermont0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Luke Muller | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Charles Rees | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel DelBello | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Siemers | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Will Holz | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
| James Beatty | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Ripkey | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 22.0% | 18.6% |
| Nathan Henderson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.