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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+4.11vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+1.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73-1.10vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.35+1.75vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-1.25vs Predicted
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6Auburn University-0.78+2.24vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-0.45+0.39vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15-1.23vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.28+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.27-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-0.98-2.24vs Predicted
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12East Carolina University-2.29-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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3.22Clemson University1.660.2%1st Place
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1.9College of Charleston2.730.5%1st Place
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5.75The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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3.75Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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8.24Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.21North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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7.05University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.86East Carolina University-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassie Todd | 6.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 15.3% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 49.7% | 24.7% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.0% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| John Reddaway | 12.7% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Yapp | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 14.2% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Art | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 11.3% |
| Michael Zimmerschied | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 16.9% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.