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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+0.86vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+2.00vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.45+2.52vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+0.89vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.35-1.36vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.27-0.94vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-0.78-0.82vs Predicted
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10East Carolina University-2.29+0.78vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-0.98-2.19vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.28-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86College of Charleston2.730.5%1st Place
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3.3Clemson University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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3.65Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.89Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.64The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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7.06University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.18Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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10.78East Carolina University-2.290.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
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9.32North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 50.1% | 27.3% | 14.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 14.4% | 24.9% | 21.4% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 12.7% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Yapp | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 5.0% |
| Michael Zimmerschied | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 58.7% |
| Matthew Art | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 17.7% | 12.0% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 26.6% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.