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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+0.88vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.69vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.35+2.71vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+2.88vs Predicted
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5Clemson University1.66-1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.45+1.54vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.27-0.96vs Predicted
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9Auburn University-0.78-0.88vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.28-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-0.98-2.23vs Predicted
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12East Carolina University-2.29-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88College of Charleston2.730.5%1st Place
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3.69Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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5.71The Citadel0.350.1%1st Place
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6.88Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.26Clemson University1.660.2%1st Place
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7.54University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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5.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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7.04University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.12Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.26North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.86East Carolina University-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 48.0% | 29.8% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 12.1% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 5.5% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Yapp | 1.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Edwin Strong | 17.2% | 21.4% | 22.4% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Cassie Todd | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 4.6% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 25.5% | 16.4% |
| Matthew Art | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 11.0% |
| Michael Zimmerschied | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 16.7% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.