← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+2.57vs Predicted
-
2Davidson College-1.09+3.34vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.81+1.63vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel-1.52+2.70vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-1.01+0.15vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.52-1.86vs Predicted
-
7Auburn University-1.29-1.10vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina-1.80-0.53vs Predicted
-
9University of Tennessee-2.12-0.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-1.86-2.79vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-2.04-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.57Georgia Institute of Technology-0.3219.9%1st Place
-
5.34Davidson College-1.0910.0%1st Place
-
4.63North Carolina State University-0.8113.7%1st Place
-
6.7The Citadel-1.526.2%1st Place
-
5.15Duke University-1.0110.0%1st Place
-
4.14Clemson University-0.5217.5%1st Place
-
5.9Auburn University-1.297.8%1st Place
-
7.47University of South Carolina-1.804.2%1st Place
-
8.06University of Tennessee-2.122.9%1st Place
-
7.21University of Georgia-1.864.2%1st Place
-
7.82North Carolina State University-2.043.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bagnoni | 19.9% | 19.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Genovese | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Liam Holder | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| William Avery | 17.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Faircloth | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| Luke Ritchie | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 24.6% |
| Bales Brannon | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.