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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+0.87vs Predicted
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2Clemson University1.66+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68+2.06vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.35+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.45+2.53vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+0.91vs Predicted
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7Auburn University-0.78+1.14vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.28+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Tennessee-0.98-0.38vs Predicted
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10East Carolina University-2.29+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina-0.27-3.75vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology1.40-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87College of Charleston2.730.5%1st Place
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3.26Clemson University1.660.2%1st Place
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5.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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5.74The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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7.53University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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6.91Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.14Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.18North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.77East Carolina University-2.290.0%1st Place
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7.25University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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3.67Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 49.2% | 28.1% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edwin Strong | 15.6% | 24.5% | 21.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Todd | 7.4% | 6.7% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 3.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Yapp | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 6.8% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 24.3% | 16.8% |
| Matthew Art | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 9.8% |
| Michael Zimmerschied | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 58.5% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| John Reddaway | 13.4% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.