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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University1.66+2.24vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology1.40+1.67vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73-1.13vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.35+1.79vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.15+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-0.45+1.55vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.68-2.02vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.78+0.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-0.27-1.98vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.28-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Tennessee-0.98-2.28vs Predicted
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12East Carolina University-2.29-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Clemson University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.67Georgia Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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1.87College of Charleston2.730.5%1st Place
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5.79The Citadel0.350.0%1st Place
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6.87Georgia Institute of Technology-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Georgia-0.450.0%1st Place
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4.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.680.1%1st Place
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8.19Auburn University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.02University of South Carolina-0.270.0%1st Place
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9.24North Carolina State University-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Tennessee-0.980.0%1st Place
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10.85East Carolina University-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Strong | 17.2% | 21.1% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Reddaway | 11.4% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 49.7% | 27.1% | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Chrysostom | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Yapp | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Weber | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Cassie Todd | 6.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent DeAngelis | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 12.9% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Bozzuti | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Ahern | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 26.4% | 16.3% |
| Matthew Art | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 10.9% |
| Michael Zimmerschied | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.