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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sean Donahue 93.5% 6.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffery Kaisner 1.0% 17.2% 17.6% 19.0% 14.9% 13.4% 8.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Austin Bidwell 1.9% 22.8% 21.8% 19.1% 15.4% 10.3% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
James Elder 0.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 6.2% 8.9% 13.2% 19.1% 19.3% 19.3%
Joshua Kim 1.5% 21.0% 21.4% 17.7% 14.1% 11.4% 6.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Kaylee Lane 0.2% 8.8% 12.0% 12.2% 14.8% 14.4% 15.0% 12.1% 5.9% 3.6% 1.0%
Taylor Wood 0.1% 4.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 10.8% 11.6% 15.3% 17.1% 15.1% 13.2%
Katherine Kristoffersen 0.9% 10.3% 11.5% 13.8% 17.0% 13.0% 13.4% 10.1% 7.5% 2.0% 0.5%
Thomas Kubic 0.3% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.7% 7.7% 13.8% 14.7% 16.4% 18.5% 10.7%
Landon Winstead III 0.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 6.9% 9.7% 13.0% 18.7% 37.0%
Jonathan Ashworth 0.3% 1.7% 3.5% 3.3% 4.5% 7.8% 9.3% 12.7% 16.9% 21.8% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.