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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.69+0.17vs Predicted
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2The Citadel2.76+0.15vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+5.37vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.30+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Georgia-0.49+0.80vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.45-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+0.90vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.06-3.19vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.60-1.10vs Predicted
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10East Carolina University-2.34-0.91vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-1.97-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.17College of Charleston4.690.8%1st Place
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2.15The Citadel2.760.1%1st Place
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8.37Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgia Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Georgia-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.8North Carolina State University-0.450.0%1st Place
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7.9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.81Clemson University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.9University of South Carolina-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.09East Carolina University-2.340.0%1st Place
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8.41Auburn University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Donahue | 83.4% | 15.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collins Moe | 12.7% | 64.8% | 18.2% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Elder | 0.0% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 19.7% |
| Joshua Kim | 1.1% | 5.0% | 22.9% | 23.6% | 20.1% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaylee Lane | 0.9% | 2.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Kristoffersen | 0.1% | 3.5% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.1% | 0.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Jeffery Kaisner | 1.0% | 4.7% | 20.3% | 23.2% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Kubic | 0.3% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 11.9% |
| Landon Winstead III | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 36.0% |
| Jonathan Ashworth | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 21.6% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.