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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.26vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+5.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.97vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64+3.08vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.13vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.84+3.91vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87-0.70vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.10+0.67vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.52vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.63-3.02vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.71-4.11vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College0.79-2.15vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.25+2.12vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.72vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-0.78-0.89vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.81-2.64vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.51-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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7.76Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.08Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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9.91William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.67Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.52SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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6.98Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.89Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.85Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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15.12Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.28SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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14.11Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.36Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.8Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 26.4% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.7% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 23.4% | 43.9% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 22.5% | 23.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 24.3% | 23.2% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.