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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.25vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+4.95vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+3.30vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.85vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.10+3.68vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.63+1.20vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.79+2.89vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.71-1.33vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.54vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.84-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.69vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.07vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-0.78+1.24vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-1.66vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.25+0.09vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81-1.68vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.51-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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6.95Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.3Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.85Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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8.68Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.2Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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9.89Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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6.67Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.54SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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9.61William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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14.24Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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15.09Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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14.32Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.81Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 25.3% | 22.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 25.0% | 23.7% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 43.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 24.9% | 22.2% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.