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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.94+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.53vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.68+2.43vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+0.10vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University1.95+2.34vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.29+0.62vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.64+1.34vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.50+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29+4.84vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.50-4.17vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.20+1.52vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College1.73-3.95vs Predicted
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13Penn State University0.21-0.52vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University0.06-1.06vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.39-3.12vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.23-2.42vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-0.51-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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4.53University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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4.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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7.34Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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6.62Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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8.34Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.61Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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13.84University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.52Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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8.05Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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12.48Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.94Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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11.88Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
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14.3Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 33.8% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 16.1% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gene Merewether | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 18.8% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.5% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% |
| Maggie Gore | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 17.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.