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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Davidson College-1.09+4.45vs Predicted
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2Duke University-1.01+3.23vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.32+0.63vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-1.52+2.48vs Predicted
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5Auburn University-1.29+0.89vs Predicted
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6Clemson University-0.52-1.75vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81-2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Tennessee-2.12-0.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-1.80-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.86-2.80vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University-2.04-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Davidson College-1.098.9%1st Place
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5.23Duke University-1.019.1%1st Place
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3.63Georgia Institute of Technology-0.3221.8%1st Place
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6.48The Citadel-1.526.8%1st Place
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5.89Auburn University-1.298.2%1st Place
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4.25Clemson University-0.5215.2%1st Place
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4.71North Carolina State University-0.8113.8%1st Place
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7.93University of Tennessee-2.123.3%1st Place
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7.49University of South Carolina-1.804.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Georgia-1.865.0%1st Place
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7.75North Carolina State University-2.043.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Genovese | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Alex Bagnoni | 21.8% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Gavin Faircloth | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| William Avery | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Liam Holder | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Luke Ritchie | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 24.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.8% |
| Bales Brannon | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| Sarina Schmoyer | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.