← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.28vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.87+4.23vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.64+4.08vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary0.84+5.69vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.17vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook0.05+6.35vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook0.94+2.37vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College0.79+1.72vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-2.05vs Predicted
-
10Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-2.27vs Predicted
-
11Colgate University1.10-2.02vs Predicted
-
12Washington College1.63-4.92vs Predicted
-
13Penn State University-0.78+1.24vs Predicted
-
15Rutgers University-1.25+0.15vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.81-1.79vs Predicted
-
17Columbia University0.51-6.22vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.22-12.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
-
6.23Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
7.08Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
9.69William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
-
4.83U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
12.35SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.37SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
9.72Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
-
6.95Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
7.73Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.98Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
-
7.08Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
14.24Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
15.15Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
14.21Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.78Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
-
5.35University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 26.2% | 21.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 5.2% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sara Klik | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 23.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 13.1% | 21.4% | 43.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 23.7% | 23.9% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.