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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+5.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.26vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.10+5.84vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.89vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+1.17vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.63+1.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.10vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-1.09vs Predicted
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9Ocean County College0.79+1.05vs Predicted
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10Princeton University-0.81+4.31vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-0.78+3.21vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.94-2.66vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.84-3.19vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.25+1.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.82vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-10.72vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.51-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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8.84Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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6.17Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.2Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.91Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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10.05Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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14.31Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.21Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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9.34SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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9.81William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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15.19Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.18SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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10.81Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 27.0% | 19.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 19.3% | 23.6% | 22.4% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 23.4% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Keesee | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 21.9% | 44.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 11.9% | 5.6% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.