← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.20vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University1.64+5.03vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.87+3.31vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.95vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.67vs Predicted
-
6Ocean County College0.79+4.03vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.22-1.80vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook0.94+1.20vs Predicted
-
9Colgate University1.10-0.04vs Predicted
-
10Princeton University-0.81+4.32vs Predicted
-
11Penn State University-0.78+3.21vs Predicted
-
12Washington College1.63-4.96vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.71-6.13vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-1.25+1.19vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary0.84-5.25vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook0.05-3.75vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University0.51-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
-
7.03Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.31Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
4.95U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.67Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
10.03Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.2University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
9.2SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.96Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
-
14.32Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
14.21Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
7.04Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.87Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
15.19Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
9.75William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
-
12.25SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
10.81Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 27.2% | 20.3% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Sara Klik | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 24.9% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 17.3% | 24.7% | 23.9% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 44.2% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 5.8% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.