← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Drexel University1.64+5.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.88vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.30vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.87+2.41vs Predicted
-
5Washington College1.63+1.99vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.84+3.89vs Predicted
-
7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+0.88vs Predicted
-
8Ocean County College0.79+1.72vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook0.05+3.35vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University1.71-3.26vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.54vs Predicted
-
12Colgate University1.10-3.15vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University-0.81+1.27vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-1.25+1.18vs Predicted
-
16Penn State University-0.78-1.85vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.22-11.78vs Predicted
-
18Columbia University0.51-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.88Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.88U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
-
6.41Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.99Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
9.89William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.88Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
9.72Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
-
12.35SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
-
6.74Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
9.46SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
-
8.85Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
-
14.27Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.18Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
14.15Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
-
5.22University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
10.85Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Myers | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 25.3% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Julian Fraize | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sara Klik | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 24.1% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 44.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 25.1% | 22.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.