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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+6.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+2.33vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.94+4.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.05+6.31vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.71-0.22vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-1.05vs Predicted
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9Colgate University1.10+0.01vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-0.78+4.26vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.63-3.80vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.84-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-7.68vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.81+0.34vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.25-0.90vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College0.79-7.07vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.51-7.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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3.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.33Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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9.15SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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12.31SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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6.78Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.95Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.01Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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14.26Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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7.2Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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9.67William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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14.34Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.1Rutgers University-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.93Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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10.85Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Fraize | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 25.5% | 20.0% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sara Klik | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Culp | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 23.7% | 22.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 24.8% | 24.8% |
| Taylor Niles | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 21.1% | 44.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.