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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+2.27vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+5.75vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.79+6.97vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.10+4.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.33-0.11vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+0.44vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-1.04vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.94+0.66vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-3.18vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.81+3.52vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.32vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.84-3.08vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78+0.52vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-0.35-2.55vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.51-6.02vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-12.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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7.75Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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9.97Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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8.96Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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6.44Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.14Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.96Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.66SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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6.82Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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14.52Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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12.32SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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9.92William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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14.52Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.45Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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10.98Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lutz | 25.8% | 21.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Sara Klik | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Hughes | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Attardi | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 34.0% |
| Cody Murphy | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 7.9% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 22.5% | 32.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.