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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+5.16vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.31vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.79+6.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.00vs Predicted
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5Colgate University1.10+3.80vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+2.09vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.64+0.15vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.63-1.00vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.71-1.98vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.84-0.26vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.94-1.39vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.05+0.37vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-0.35+0.48vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-0.78+0.51vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.81-1.54vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.51-5.99vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-12.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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9.95Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.8Colgate University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.09Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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7.15Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.0Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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7.02Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.74William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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12.37SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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13.48Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.51Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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14.46Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.01Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 25.2% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Hughes | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Klik | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Myers | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 7.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 33.5% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 33.8% |
| Nicole Edwards | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.