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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+6.12vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+2.80vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.89vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71+1.14vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.64+0.67vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.79+2.33vs Predicted
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8Colgate University1.10+0.09vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.94-0.03vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.84-0.93vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.81+3.11vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.63-5.49vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.23-1.74vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook0.05-2.16vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-0.35-2.12vs Predicted
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16Penn State University-0.78-1.95vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania-0.58-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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4.46U. S. Naval Academy2.330.2%1st Place
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5.8Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.3%1st Place
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6.14Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.67Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.33Ocean County College0.790.0%1st Place
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8.09Colgate University1.100.1%1st Place
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8.97SUNY Stony Brook0.940.0%1st Place
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9.07William and Mary0.840.0%1st Place
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14.11Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.51Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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11.26Columbia University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.84SUNY Stony Brook0.050.0%1st Place
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12.88Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.05Penn State University-0.780.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Pennsylvania-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Fraize | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 15.3% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 26.9% | 23.2% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Boyle | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sara Klik | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Constantine Spentzos | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Keesee | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 30.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Thies | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Cody Murphy | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 12.8% |
| Sarah Culp | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 20.1% | 24.8% |
| Steven Ho | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.