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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.29+5.31vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.54vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.94-0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.53vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.50+3.63vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.64+2.52vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.21+5.46vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.23+5.38vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50-2.94vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95-2.62vs Predicted
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11Rutgers University0.06+1.91vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51+2.24vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.39-1.05vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.29-0.20vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.20-2.54vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25-12.01vs Predicted
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17Ocean County College1.73-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Washington College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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2.7U. S. Naval Academy3.940.3%1st Place
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5.53University of Pennsylvania2.680.1%1st Place
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8.63Princeton University1.500.0%1st Place
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8.52Villanova University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.46Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Delaware-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.38Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.91Rutgers University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.24Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.95Christopher Newport University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.46Drexel University0.200.0%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.2%1st Place
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8.13Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mildred Conroy | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Lopez | 32.6% | 22.6% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Russom | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gene Merewether | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Szekalski | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Adrian Sawyer | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| Joseph Turchiano | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Richardson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
| Michael Kahn | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 28.4% |
| Maggie Gore | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Swanson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 21.0% |
| Trevor Nederlof | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% |
| Ian Liberty | 15.1% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.