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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.74+5.18vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.69+4.37vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.44vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+0.01vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook2.59-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.06+2.57vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.87+2.06vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.61+1.60vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-1.90vs Predicted
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10Columbia University-0.51+2.90vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.82-4.83vs Predicted
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12Drexel University1.06-3.65vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.87-3.88vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.81-0.39vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.14-0.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.71-3.60vs Predicted
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18Penn State University-2.19-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.37Colgate University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.2%1st Place
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3.96SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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8.57University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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9.06William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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9.6Stevens Institute of Technology0.610.0%1st Place
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7.1Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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12.9Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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6.17Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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8.35Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.12Ocean County College0.870.0%1st Place
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13.61Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.19Rutgers University-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Stony Brook-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.97Penn State University-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Stapp | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bicks | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Morgan | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 18.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 18.5% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Slook | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 4.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Burke | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bennett Brainard | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 21.5% | 9.4% |
| Max Reo | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 27.8% | 16.1% |
| Francis George | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 17.3% | 7.9% |
| Charles Jr. Blair | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.